NC A&T
W-L: (11-19) PR = 94.3429Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H So Carolina SEC (13-19, 96.4) 72-91 1110 A SC St MEAC (10-22, 93.3) 85-62 1113 A COLUN 89-83 1118 A Morgan State MEAC M (13-17, 93.6) 79-73 1128 H Davidson A10 (20-15, 96.2) 74-90 1202 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 57-74 1206 A NC Center MEAC (14-18, 93.6) 69-54 1209 H Howard MEAC (24-11, 95.0) 69-73 1212 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 82-79 1216 A UNCG SO U (14-20, 94.5) 71-65 1220 A MACUM 95-55 1229 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 78-87 1231 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 74-85 103 H Stony Brook CA (17-15, 95.0) 80-81 108 H Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) 64-69 115 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 89-97 119 H Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 61-82 122 A Hofstra CA (24-11, 96.1) 79-78 124 A Towson CA (19-15, 95.5) 80-73 129 H Monmouth CA (19-15, 95.3) 81-83 131 H Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 60-61 205 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 62-78 207 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 71-79 213 A Hampton CA (14-19, 94.5) 71-70 219 H Charlotte AME (39-26, 95.9) 61-74 221 A Elon CA (14-18, 94.9) **-82 226 H UNC-Wilm CA (27- 7, 96.3) 65-88 228 H Will&Mary CA (21-12, 95.7) 88-91 303 H Campbell CA (15-19, 95.3) 72-90 306 H Northeastern CA ( 7-24, 94.1) 72-88
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H So Carolina 72-91 -19 -2 0.00
1110 A SC St 85-62 23 1 0.95
1118 A Morgan State 79-73 6 1 1.25
1128 H Davidson 74-90 -16 -2 -0.20
1202 H Charlotte 57-74 -17 -2 -0.45
1206 A NC Center 69-54 15 1 1.23
1209 H Howard 69-73 -4 -1 -1.40
1212 A MD-Ea Shore 82-79 3 1 0.67
1216 A UNCG 71-65 6 0 + 2.19
1229 H UNC-Wilm 78-87 -9 -2 -0.07
1231 H Northeastern 74-85 -11 0 - -2.25
103 H Stony Brook 80-81 -1 -1 -0.34
108 H Elon 64-69 -5 -1 -1.47
115 H Will&Mary 89-97 -8 -1 -0.68
119 H Hampton 61-82 -21 0 -1.85
122 A Hofstra 79-78 1 -2 + 2.79
124 A Towson 80-73 7 -1 + 3.15
129 H Monmouth 81-83 -2 -1 -1.04
131 H Drexel 60-61 -1 -1 -0.29
205 H Charlotte 62-78 -16 -2 -0.45
207 H Campbell 71-79 -8 -1 -1.01
213 A Hampton 71-70 1 0 1.17
219 H Charlotte 61-74 -13 -2 -0.45
221 A Elon **-82 20 -1 + 2.55
226 H UNC-Wilm 65-88 -23 -2 -0.07
228 H Will&Mary 88-91 -3 -1 -0.68
303 H Campbell 72-90 -18 -1 -1.01
306 H Northeastern 72-88 -16 0 - -2.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 H Northeastern 74-85 -11 0 - -2.25 306 H Northeastern 72-88 -16 0 - -2.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 A UNCG 71-65 6 0 + 2.19 122 A Hofstra 79-78 1 -2 + 2.79 124 A Towson 80-73 7 -1 + 3.15 221 A Elon **-82 20 -1 + 2.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Carolina (13-19, 96.4) 72-91 -3.52 3.95 -0.01 1.18 -2.08
3 A SC St (10-22, 93.3) 85-62 -6.62 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A Morgan State (13-17, 93.6) 79-73 -6.32 1.16 0.01 1.18 2.76
3 H Davidson (20-15, 96.2) 74-90 -3.75 3.73 -0.01 1.18 -2.22
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 57-74 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.18 -2.36
3 A NC Center (14-18, 93.6) 69-54 -6.34 1.14 0.01 1.18 2.70
3 H Howard (24-11, 95.0) 69-73 -4.95 2.53 -0.01 1.18 -2.92
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 82-79 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.18 2.38
3 A UNCG (14-20, 94.5) 71-65 -5.38 2.10 0.01 1.18 4.97
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 78-87 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.18 -2.14
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 74-85 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.18 -3.42
3 H Stony Brook (17-15, 95.0) 80-81 -4.89 2.59 -0.01 1.18 -2.89
3 H Elon (14-18, 94.9) 64-69 -5.01 2.46 -0.01 1.18 -2.96
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 89-97 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.18 -2.50
3 H Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 61-82 -5.40 2.08 -0.01 1.18 -3.19
3 A Hofstra (24-11, 96.1) 79-78 -3.78 3.70 0.01 1.18 8.74
3 A Towson (19-15, 95.5) 80-73 -4.42 3.06 0.01 1.18 7.24
3 H Monmouth (19-15, 95.3) 81-83 -4.59 2.89 -0.01 1.18 -2.71
3 H Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 60-61 -4.83 2.64 -0.01 1.18 -2.85
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 62-78 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.18 -2.36
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 71-79 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.18 -2.69
3 A Hampton (14-19, 94.5) 71-70 -5.40 2.08 0.01 1.18 4.92
3 H Charlotte (39-26, 95.9) 61-74 -4.00 3.48 -0.01 1.18 -2.36
3 A Elon (14-18, 94.9) **-82 -5.01 2.46 0.01 1.18 5.83
3 H UNC-Wilm (27- 7, 96.3) 65-88 -3.61 3.86 -0.01 1.18 -2.14
3 H Will&Mary (21-12, 95.7) 88-91 -4.23 3.25 -0.01 1.18 -2.50
3 H Campbell (15-19, 95.3) 72-90 -4.56 2.92 -0.01 1.18 -2.69
3 H Northeastern ( 7-24, 94.1) 72-88 -5.79 1.68 -0.01 1.18 -3.42
------
-8.47
|
winning pts = 41.9282 losing points = -50.4015
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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